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Clashes in Swedish central bank as governors point figures at each other over wrong policies
Friday, 10 August 2012
There is an underground Volcano in the Swedish central, the Riksbank,
as the policy directors there pointing accusing fingers at each other
over wrong policies the bank has been pursuing.
One of the core accusation is that the Bank has been pursuing the wrong
monetary policy with high interest rates. Therefore, unemployment has
been unnecessarily high in the past 15 years - nearly 40,000 more
people unemployed than if interest rates were lower.
This comes from Deputy Governor, Lars EO Svensson, who would like to see more researchers in the Riksbank's management system.
Since the summer of 2010 there has been policy power struggle within
the General Executive Board of the bank between those who want to lower
interest rates and those who did not want it to.
The majority of the Executive Board, the Governor, Stefan Ingves, and
his three conspirators members have wanted the rate not to be lowered.
They fear that a lower interest rate may mean that the price rally in
components such as housing could lead to a housing price bubble leading
to a crash.
Deputy Governor members, Lars EO Svensson and Karolina Ekholm
have been running the other line. They want the rate to be lowered so
that it becomes cheaper for companies to borrow and invest so that they
can hire more.
Today's Swedish interest rate is higher than in comparable countries in
the world. Lars EO Svensson believes that it is at least 0.5 percentage
points too high and that it keeps unemployment up.
1.5 percent interest rate is a very high rate of interest at present,
compared to, for example, interest rates in the U.S. and euro area
countries. The spread means that it pays for foreign investors to
invest in Krona and then strengthened the local currency. Inflation
will be lower and the recovery slowed down while unemployment remains
high - and that is exactly what has happened, according to Svensson.
He believes that the Governor majority lacks good and convincing reason
to keep interest rates high. According to Lars EO Svensson, there is no
price bubble in housing sector and he does not believe that the
interest rate is the right weapon to use in such a situation.
Inflation has been low for the past 15 years and the unemployment rate
averaged 0.8 percentage points too high, almost 40 000 more have been
unemployed on average during the period than if the interest is kept
lower.
Despite the contradictions of the Riksbank, Svensson has no plans to quit.
by Scancomark.se Team
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